Once you have found a highly-liquid ETF in an extreme overbought/oversold state you can begin to look for a high-probability trade. But before I get into the heavy stuff let me start out with some ...

Probability is a measure of the likelihood of events happening. The greater the proportion of times an event can happen the greater (or more likely) the probability. Events can be ordered by the ...

The conjunction and disjunction fallacies are famous for revealing the limits of human reasoning about probability. This can be measured by telling people a short story about a character and then ...